RY 133.21 -0.0675% TD 78.64 0.4599% SHOP 95.75 0.136% CNR 174.55 -0.2172% ENB 46.51 1.3511% CP 115.18 -0.3375% BMO 125.12 -0.1197% TRI 207.83 -1.3153% CNQ 105.4 -0.8467% BN 52.885 -1.5544% ATD 75.13 -0.186% CSU 3670.4399 -1.1052% BNS 64.03 -0.2959% CM 64.91 0.1698% SU 52.315 0.2587% TRP 48.59 0.5796% NGT 53.03 -0.0942% WCN 226.63 -0.0838% MFC 31.51 0.2226% BCE 44.31 -0.2476%

US Technical Analysis Report

One NYSE-Listed Stock Gaining Upside Momentum Despite Russell 3000 Bearish Run – AMRC

May 20, 2022

US Markets Round-Up

This week, the Russell 3000 index, an important benchmark of the US stock market across market capitalizations, started on a negative note and continued the momentum. It made a low of 2240.84 during the week and settled at 2256.39 with a week-to-date (WTD) loss of ~2.87 percent on May 19, 2022. Other major indices such as S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite also showed bearish movement for the week. On May 19, 2022, the S&P 500 index settled at 3900.79 with a WTD loss of ~3.06 percent, while NASDAQ Composite Index settled at 11388.495 with a WTD loss of ~3.53 percent.

The market remained in the bearish territory due to the release of negative economic data during the week such as Core Retail Sale, Retail Sales, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, and Initial Jobless Claims. As per the U.S. Department of Labor, the weekly US initial jobless claims numbers reached 218,000 from 197,000 (revised level) in the prior week and supported the negative direction.

Having understood the US market performance over the week, taking cues from major global news, and based on our technical analysis of the Russell 3000 index for the upcoming week, now let us have a look at the one NYSE/ NASDAQ listed stock pick from the technical standpoint. Noted below is our recommendation based on generic insights, entry price, target prices, and stop-loss for Ameresco, Inc. (NYSE: AMRC) for the next 2-4 weeks duration:  

Ameresco, Inc. 

Ameresco, Inc. (NYSE: AMRC) is a clean technology and renewable energy supply solutions company that sells solar photovoltaic (PV) energy products and systems and offers enterprise energy management and consulting services. Noted below are the key price indicators for the stock:

Price Action Analysis (on the Daily Chart) 

AMRC has recently broken a downward sloping trend line by the upside and trading above the breakout level, indicating the possibility of an upside movement hereon. Now the next major resistance level for the stock appears at USD 64.50 and prices may test this level in the short-term (2-4 weeks). A further breakout above USD 64.50 backed by volumes may extend buying in the stock.

Technical Indicators Analysis (On the Daily Chart)

On the daily chart, RSI (14-period) is recovering from the lower levels and currently showing a reading of 48.68, indicating the possibility of an upside direction. The volumes also seem supportive of the upside movement. Prices are trading above the trend-following indicator 21-period SMA, further supporting an up-move; however, the 50-period SMA is above the CMP and may act as the resistance level.

General Recommendation:

As per the above-mentioned price action and technical indicators analysis, we can conclude that Ameresco, Inc. is looking technically well-placed on the chart, and we have a ‘Buy’ rating on the stock. Investment decision should be made depending on an investors’ appetite on upside potential, risks, and any previous holdings. This recommendation is purely based on technical analysis, and fundamental analysis has not been considered in this report. The summary of our recommendation is as follows:

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic and geopolitical tensions prevailing. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Upcoming Major Global Economic Events

Market events occur on a day-to-day basis depending on the frequency of the data and generally include an update on employment, inflation, GDP, consumer sentiments, etc. Noted below are the upcoming week's major global economic events that could impact the Russell 3000 Index and stocks’ prices.

Investment Related Risks: Based on the technical analysis, the risks are defined as per risk-reward ratio (~0.60:1.00), however, returns are generated within 2-4 weeks’ time frame. This may be looked at by Investors with sufficient risk appetite looking for returns within short investment duration. Investment recommendation provided in this report is solely based on technical parameters, and fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, and social and political instability risks etc.

Note 1: Investors can consider exiting from the stock if the Target Price or Stop loss mentioned as per the technical analysis has been achieved and subject to the factors discussed above. 

Note 2: How to Read the Charts?

The Green colour line reflects the 21-period moving average while the red line indicates the 50- period moving average. SMA helps to identify existing price trend. If the prices are trading above the 21-period and 50-period moving average, then it shows prices are currently trading in a bullish trend.

The Black colour line in the chart’s lower segment reflects the Relative Strength Index (14-Period) which indicates price momentum and signals momentum in trend. A reading of 70 or above suggests overbought status while a reading of 30 or below suggests an oversold status.

The Blue colour bars in the chart’s lower segment show the volume of the stock. The volume is the number of shares that changed hands during a given day. Stocks with high volumes are more liquid than stocks with lesser volume as liquidity in stocks helps in easier and faster execution of the order.

The Orange colour lines are the trend lines drawn by connecting two or more price points and used for trend identification purposes. The trend line also acts as a line of support and resistance.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level where-in the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest.

Resistance: A level where-in the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest.

Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.

Risk Reward Ratio: Risk reward ratio is the difference between an entry point to a stop loss and profit level. We suggest ~60% Stop Loss of the Target 1 from the entry point. 

A trailing stop-loss is a modification of stop-loss in case of favourable movement in the price to protect the gains. We suggest Investors to Trail the Stop-Loss as per the aforementioned levels if the stock price achieves more than 50% of the Target 1. Investors should consider exiting from the position as per the Trailing Stop-Loss level if the price starts moving downwards after achieving more than 50% of the Target 1. 

The reference date for all price data, volumes, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is May 19, 2022. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV. 

Abbreviations

CMP: Current Market Price

SMA: Simple Moving Average

RSI: Relative Strength Index

USD: United States dollar 

Note: Trading decisions require a thorough analysis by investors. Technical reports in general chart out metrics that may be assessed by investors before any stock evaluation. The above are illustrative analytical factors used for evaluating the stocks; other parameters can be looked at along with additional risks per se. Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.


US Markets Round-Up

This week, the Russell 3000 index, an important benchmark of the US stock market across market capitalizations, started on a negative note and continued the momentum. It made a low of 2240.84 during the week and settled at 2256.39 with a week-to-date (WTD) loss of ~2.87 percent on May 19, 2022. Other major indices such as S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite also showed bearish movement for the week. On May 19, 2022, the S&P 500 index settled at 3900.79 with a WTD loss of ~3.06 percent, while NASDAQ Composite Index settled at 11388.495 with a WTD loss of ~3.53 percent.

The market remained in the bearish territory due to the release of negative economic data during the week such as Core Retail Sale, Retail Sales, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, and Initial Jobless Claims. As per the U.S. Department of Labor, the weekly US initial jobless claims numbers reached 218,000 from 197,000 (revised level) in the prior week and supported the negative direction.

Having understood the US market performance over the week, taking cues from major global news, and based on our technical analysis of the Russell 3000 index for the upcoming week, now let us have a look at the one NYSE/ NASDAQ listed stock pick from the technical standpoint. Noted below is our recommendation based on generic insights, entry price, target prices, and stop-loss for Ameresco, Inc. (NYSE: AMRC) for the next 2-4 weeks duration:  

Ameresco, Inc. 

Ameresco, Inc. (NYSE: AMRC) is a clean technology and renewable energy supply solutions company that sells solar photovoltaic (PV) energy products and systems and offers enterprise energy management and consulting services. Noted below are the key price indicators for the stock:

Price Action Analysis (on the Daily Chart) 

AMRC has recently broken a downward sloping trend line by the upside and trading above the breakout level, indicating the possibility of an upside movement hereon. Now the next major resistance level for the stock appears at USD 64.50 and prices may test this level in the short-term (2-4 weeks). A further breakout above USD 64.50 backed by volumes may extend buying in the stock.

Technical Indicators Analysis (On the Daily Chart)

On the daily chart, RSI (14-period) is recovering from the lower levels and currently showing a reading of 48.68, indicating the possibility of an upside direction. The volumes also seem supportive of the upside movement. Prices are trading above the trend-following indicator 21-period SMA, further supporting an up-move; however, the 50-period SMA is above the CMP and may act as the resistance level.

General Recommendation:

As per the above-mentioned price action and technical indicators analysis, we can conclude that Ameresco, Inc. is looking technically well-placed on the chart, and we have a ‘Buy’ rating on the stock. Investment decision should be made depending on an investors’ appetite on upside potential, risks, and any previous holdings. This recommendation is purely based on technical analysis, and fundamental analysis has not been considered in this report. The summary of our recommendation is as follows:

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic and geopolitical tensions prevailing. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Upcoming Major Global Economic Events

Market events occur on a day-to-day basis depending on the frequency of the data and generally include an update on employment, inflation, GDP, consumer sentiments, etc. Noted below are the upcoming week's major global economic events that could impact the Russell 3000 Index and stocks’ prices.

Investment Related Risks: Based on the technical analysis, the risks are defined as per risk-reward ratio (~0.60:1.00), however, returns are generated within 2-4 weeks’ time frame. This may be looked at by Investors with sufficient risk appetite looking for returns within short investment duration. Investment recommendation provided in this report is solely based on technical parameters, and fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, and social and political instability risks etc.

Note 1: Investors can consider exiting from the stock if the Target Price or Stop loss mentioned as per the technical analysis has been achieved and subject to the factors discussed above. 

Note 2: How to Read the Charts?

The Green colour line reflects the 21-period moving average while the red line indicates the 50- period moving average. SMA helps to identify existing price trend. If the prices are trading above the 21-period and 50-period moving average, then it shows prices are currently trading in a bullish trend.

The Black colour line in the chart’s lower segment reflects the Relative Strength Index (14-Period) which indicates price momentum and signals momentum in trend. A reading of 70 or above suggests overbought status while a reading of 30 or below suggests an oversold status.

The Blue colour bars in the chart’s lower segment show the volume of the stock. The volume is the number of shares that changed hands during a given day. Stocks with high volumes are more liquid than stocks with lesser volume as liquidity in stocks helps in easier and faster execution of the order.

The Orange colour lines are the trend lines drawn by connecting two or more price points and used for trend identification purposes. The trend line also acts as a line of support and resistance.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level where-in the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest.

Resistance: A level where-in the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest.

Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.

Risk Reward Ratio: Risk reward ratio is the difference between an entry point to a stop loss and profit level. We suggest ~60% Stop Loss of the Target 1 from the entry point. 

A trailing stop-loss is a modification of stop-loss in case of favourable movement in the price to protect the gains. We suggest Investors to Trail the Stop-Loss as per the aforementioned levels if the stock price achieves more than 50% of the Target 1. Investors should consider exiting from the position as per the Trailing Stop-Loss level if the price starts moving downwards after achieving more than 50% of the Target 1. 

The reference date for all price data, volumes, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is May 19, 2022. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV. 

Abbreviations

CMP: Current Market Price

SMA: Simple Moving Average

RSI: Relative Strength Index

USD: United States dollar 

Note: Trading decisions require a thorough analysis by investors. Technical reports in general chart out metrics that may be assessed by investors before any stock evaluation. The above are illustrative analytical factors used for evaluating the stocks; other parameters can be looked at along with additional risks per se. Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.

US Markets Round-Up

This week, the Russell 3000 index, an important benchmark of the US stock market across market capitalizations, started on a negative note and continued the momentum. It made a low of 2240.84 during the week and settled at 2256.39 with a week-to-date (WTD) loss of ~2.87 percent on May 19, 2022. Other major indices such as S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite also showed bearish movement for the week. On May 19, 2022, the S&P 500 index settled at 3900.79 with a WTD loss of ~3.06 percent, while NASDAQ Composite Index settled at 11388.495 with a WTD loss of ~3.53 percent.

The market remained in the bearish territory due to the release of negative economic data during the week such as Core Retail Sale, Retail Sales, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, and Initial Jobless Claims. As per the U.S. Department of Labor, the weekly US initial jobless claims numbers reached 218,000 from 197,000 (revised level) in the prior week and supported the negative direction.

Having understood the US market performance over the week, taking cues from major global news, and based on our technical analysis of the Russell 3000 index for the upcoming week, now let us have a look at the one NYSE/ NASDAQ listed stock pick from the technical standpoint. Noted below is our recommendation based on generic insights, entry price, target prices, and stop-loss for Ameresco, Inc. (NYSE: AMRC) for the next 2-4 weeks duration:  

Ameresco, Inc. 

Ameresco, Inc. (NYSE: AMRC) is a clean technology and renewable energy supply solutions company that sells solar photovoltaic (PV) energy products and systems and offers enterprise energy management and consulting services. Noted below are the key price indicators for the stock:

Price Action Analysis (on the Daily Chart) 

AMRC has recently broken a downward sloping trend line by the upside and trading above the breakout level, indicating the possibility of an upside movement hereon. Now the next major resistance level for the stock appears at USD 64.50 and prices may test this level in the short-term (2-4 weeks). A further breakout above USD 64.50 backed by volumes may extend buying in the stock.

Technical Indicators Analysis (On the Daily Chart)

On the daily chart, RSI (14-period) is recovering from the lower levels and currently showing a reading of 48.68, indicating the possibility of an upside direction. The volumes also seem supportive of the upside movement. Prices are trading above the trend-following indicator 21-period SMA, further supporting an up-move; however, the 50-period SMA is above the CMP and may act as the resistance level.

General Recommendation:

As per the above-mentioned price action and technical indicators analysis, we can conclude that Ameresco, Inc. is looking technically well-placed on the chart, and we have a ‘Buy’ rating on the stock. Investment decision should be made depending on an investors’ appetite on upside potential, risks, and any previous holdings. This recommendation is purely based on technical analysis, and fundamental analysis has not been considered in this report. The summary of our recommendation is as follows:

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic and geopolitical tensions prevailing. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Upcoming Major Global Economic Events

Market events occur on a day-to-day basis depending on the frequency of the data and generally include an update on employment, inflation, GDP, consumer sentiments, etc. Noted below are the upcoming week's major global economic events that could impact the Russell 3000 Index and stocks’ prices.

Investment Related Risks: Based on the technical analysis, the risks are defined as per risk-reward ratio (~0.60:1.00), however, returns are generated within 2-4 weeks’ time frame. This may be looked at by Investors with sufficient risk appetite looking for returns within short investment duration. Investment recommendation provided in this report is solely based on technical parameters, and fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, and social and political instability risks etc.

Note 1: Investors can consider exiting from the stock if the Target Price or Stop loss mentioned as per the technical analysis has been achieved and subject to the factors discussed above. 

Note 2: How to Read the Charts?

The Green colour line reflects the 21-period moving average while the red line indicates the 50- period moving average. SMA helps to identify existing price trend. If the prices are trading above the 21-period and 50-period moving average, then it shows prices are currently trading in a bullish trend.

The Black colour line in the chart’s lower segment reflects the Relative Strength Index (14-Period) which indicates price momentum and signals momentum in trend. A reading of 70 or above suggests overbought status while a reading of 30 or below suggests an oversold status.

The Blue colour bars in the chart’s lower segment show the volume of the stock. The volume is the number of shares that changed hands during a given day. Stocks with high volumes are more liquid than stocks with lesser volume as liquidity in stocks helps in easier and faster execution of the order.

The Orange colour lines are the trend lines drawn by connecting two or more price points and used for trend identification purposes. The trend line also acts as a line of support and resistance.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level where-in the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest.

Resistance: A level where-in the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest.

Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.

Risk Reward Ratio: Risk reward ratio is the difference between an entry point to a stop loss and profit level. We suggest ~60% Stop Loss of the Target 1 from the entry point. 

A trailing stop-loss is a modification of stop-loss in case of favourable movement in the price to protect the gains. We suggest Investors to Trail the Stop-Loss as per the aforementioned levels if the stock price achieves more than 50% of the Target 1. Investors should consider exiting from the position as per the Trailing Stop-Loss level if the price starts moving downwards after achieving more than 50% of the Target 1. 

The reference date for all price data, volumes, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is May 19, 2022. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV. 

Abbreviations

CMP: Current Market Price

SMA: Simple Moving Average

RSI: Relative Strength Index

USD: United States dollar 

Note: Trading decisions require a thorough analysis by investors. Technical reports in general chart out metrics that may be assessed by investors before any stock evaluation. The above are illustrative analytical factors used for evaluating the stocks; other parameters can be looked at along with additional risks per se. Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.


Disclaimer

The advice given by Kalkine Canada Advisory Services Inc. and provided on this website is general information only and it does not take into account your investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any particular person. You should therefore consider whether the advice is appropriate to your investment objectives, financial situation and needs before acting upon it. You should seek advice from a financial adviser, stockbroker or other professional (including taxation and legal advice) as necessary before acting on any advice. Not all investments are appropriate for all people. The website www.kalkine.ca is published by Kalkine Canada Advisory Services Inc. The link to our Terms & Conditions has been provided please go through them. On the date of publishing this report (mentioned on the website), employees and/or associates of Kalkine do not hold positions in any of the stocks covered on the website. These stocks can change any time and readers of the reports should not consider these stocks as advice or recommendations later.