Canada Market Round-Up

The benchmark S&P/TSX Venture Composite Index (TSX: ^JX) started the last week on a negative note. It declined by 0.30% to 615.38 for the week ending on July 08, 2022. On July 14, 2022, the index closed at 586.08 and increased by 9.52 points or ~1.60%. The Industrial, Healthcare and Utilities were the leading sectors while Energy, Financial, Technology, and Battery Metals were the laggard on Thursday.

The weekly chart indicates that the index prices are trading below a downward sloping trendline, indicating the possibility of further correction on the downside. Moreover, the prices are trading below the 21-period & 50-period SMA, which can act as the resistance levels in the near term for the index. On the weekly chart, RSI is showing a reading 0f ~21.388 levels and placed in an oversold.

On the macro front, the upcoming major economic events that may impact the Canadian market sentiment include US Core Retail Sales, Consumer Price Index, US Unemployment Claims, etc.

Global Markets Wrap-Up 

On July 14, 2022, the S&P 500 index settled at 3790.38 with a WTD (week-to-date) loss of ~2.80%, and the tech-heavy NASDAQ composite declined by ~2.95% on a WTD basis and settled at 11768.40, whereas Russell 2000 ended the week at 1707.51, reflecting loss of ~3.50% on WTD basis.

Considering the US market's performance over the last week, following the major global macros and data front, and analysing the S&P/TSXV Composite Index, one TSX stock fit the maximum criteria on the technical framework. The recommendation is based on the generic insights, entry price, target prices, and stop-loss for UEX Corporation (TSX: UEX) for the next 2-6 weeks.

UEX Corporation

UEX Corporation (TSX: UEX) is a firm engaged in exploration and development. It is involved in the exploration and assessment of its mineral properties, which are situated in the Saskatchewan province. Noted below are the key price indicators for the stock:

Price Action Analysis (on the Weekly Chart)

UEX's price is taking support at an upward sloping trend and formed a bullish hammer candlestick pattern, indicating the possibility of an uptrend hereon. The next resistance level is plotted around CAD 0.45, and the stock may test that level in the short term (2-6 weeks).

Technical Analysis (On the Weekly Chart)

On the weekly chart, the current market price (CMP) is above the trend-following indicator 21-period SMA and below the 50-period SMA. The leading indicator RSI (14-period) is also in positive territory and is showing a reading of 51.875 level. The weekly volumes also seem supportive of an upside movement.

General Recommendation:

As per the above-mentioned price action and technical indicators analysis, UEX Corporation is looking technically well-placed on the chart, and a ‘Speculative Buy’ recommendation has been given on the stock. Investment decision should be made depending on an individual’s appetite for an upside potential, risks, and any previous holdings. This recommendation is purely based on technical analysis, and fundamental analysis has not been considered in this report. The summary of recommendation is as follows:

Upcoming Major Global Economic Events 

Market events occur on a day-to-day basis depending on the frequency of the data and generally include updates on Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Manufacturing PMI, etc. Noted below are the upcoming week's major global economic events that could impact the S&P/TSX Composite Index and listed stocks' prices.

Note: Related Risks: This report may be looked at from high-risk perspective and recommendation is provided for a short duration. Recommendation provided in this report are solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks etc. 

Note: How to Read the Charts?

The Green color line reflects the 21-period moving average, while the red color line indicates the 50-period moving average. SMA helps to identify existing price trend. If the prices are trading above the 21-period and 50-period moving average, then it shows prices are currently trading in a bullish trend.

The Black color line in the chart's lower segment reflects the Relative Strength Index (14-Period), which indicates price momentum and signals momentum in trend. A reading of 70 or above suggests overbought status, while a reading of 30 or below suggests an oversold status.

The Blue color bars in the chart's lower segment show the volume of the stock. The volume is the number of shares that changed hands during a given day. Stocks with high volumes are more liquid than stocks with lesser volume. Liquidity in stocks helps in easier and faster execution of the order.

The Orange color lines are the trend lines drawn by connecting two or more price points and used for trend identification purposes. The trend line also acts as a line of support and resistance.

Technical Indicators Defined: - 

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. 

Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. 

Stop-loss: In general, it is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavorable movement in the stock prices.

Risk Reward Ratio: The risk reward ratio is the difference between an entry point to a stop loss and profit level and report is based on ~60% Stop Loss of the Target 1 from the entry point.

A trailing stop-loss is a modification of stop-loss in case of favorable movement in the price to protect the gains. Individual can Trail the Stop-Loss as per the levels if the stock price achieves more than 50% of the Target 1. Individual should consider exiting from the position as per the Trailing Stop-Loss level if the price starts moving downwards after achieving more than 50% of the Target 1.

The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is July 14, 2022. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Abbreviations

CMP: Current Market Price

SMA: Simple Moving Average

CAD: Canadian Dollar

RSI: Relative Strength Index 

Note: Trading decisions require a thorough analysis by individuals. Technical reports in general chart out metrics that may be assessed by individuals before any stock evaluation. The above are illustrative analytical factors used for evaluating the stocks; other parameters can be looked at along with additional risks per se. Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.

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Disclaimer

The advice given by Kalkine Canada Advisory Services Inc. and provided on this website is general information only and it does not take into account your investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any particular person. You should therefore consider whether the advice is appropriate to your investment objectives, financial situation and needs before acting upon it. You should seek advice from a financial adviser, stockbroker or other professional (including taxation and legal advice) as necessary before acting on any advice. Not all investments are appropriate for all people. The website www.kalkine.ca is published by Kalkine Canada Advisory Services Inc. The link to our Terms & Conditions has been provided please go through them. On the date of publishing this report (mentioned on the website), employees and/or associates of Kalkine do not hold positions in any of the stocks covered on the website. These stocks can change any time and readers of the reports should not consider these stocks as advice or recommendations later.