RY 172.93 -0.271% SHOP 157.86 0.7274% TD 75.22 0.2532% ENB 59.74 0.5216% BN 81.36 0.9429% TRI 234.42 0.5404% CNQ 43.01 1.2% CP 104.55 0.7225% CNR 146.44 0.7568% BMO 139.17 0.2377% BNS 77.04 -0.0649% CSU 4487.8101 0.7917% CM 91.94 -0.6054% MFC 44.04 1.1716% ATD 80.33 -0.5694% NGT 54.77 -0.635% TRP 66.14 0.532% SU 50.335 1.4819% WCN 245.2 -2.104% L 191.84 0.64%
Transcontinental Inc (TSX: TCL.A), is a printing company. It has operations in print, flexible packaging, publishing and digital media, both in Canada and the United States. Its segments include the Packaging Sector, the Printing Sector and the Media Sector.
Investment Rationale
Dividend History. Source: REFINITIV, Analysis by Kalkine Group
Technical Analysis Highlights:
Technical Price Chart (as on September 27, 2021). Source: REFINITIVE, Analysis by Kalkine Group
Financial Highlights: Q3FY21
Source: Company Filing
Top 10 Shareholders
Top-10 shareholders in the company together holds approximately 45.3% stake, with Jarislowsky Fraser, Ltd. and Foyston, Gordon & Payne Inc. are the major shareholders with an outstanding position of 10.95% and 9.41%, respectively.
Valuation Methodology (Illustrative): EV to Sales Based Valuation Metrics
Note: Premium (discount) is based on our assessment of the company’s growth drivers, economic moat, competitive advantage, stock’s current and historical multiple against peer group average/median and investment risks.
Stock Recommendation: Regardless of short-term challenges presented by the rise in the price of resin, the company delivered a good operating performance in Q3FY21.
The company's packaging sector is moving very strongly, as a result of signing new contracts and introducing new products in the market. Going forward, we continue to expect decent organic volume growth in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021 and in fiscal 2022.
However, the impact of contractual lags in passing through the rise in the price of resin to customers and the appreciation of the Canadian dollar against the U.S. dollar should continue to have a negative impact on the sector's profitability for the fourth quarter, but to a lesser extent.
Excluding the impacts of the price of resin and the appreciation of the Canadian dollar, the group expects to post an increase in operating earnings for fiscal 2021 compared to the prior fiscal year, as a result of their operational efficiency initiatives and the anticipated organic growth in revenues.
Further, the company has robust financial health with strong debt protection metrics that minimize balance sheet risk for the investors. Also, a higher yield positions it well for income-seeking investors, with a yield above 4% amid a lower interest rate environment.
Hence, based on the aforementioned rationale and valuation, we recommend a "Buy" rating on the stock at the closing price of CAD 20.63 on September 27, 2021.
*Depending upon the risk tolerance, investors may consider unwinding their positions in a respective stock once the estimated target price is reached.
Technical Analysis Summary
One Year Price Chart (as on September 27, 2021). Source: REFINITIV, Analysis by Kalkine Group
*The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.
*Recommendation is valid on September 28, 2021, price as well.
Disclaimer
The advice given by Kalkine Canada Advisory Services Inc. and provided on this website is general information only and it does not take into account your investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any particular person. You should therefore consider whether the advice is appropriate to your investment objectives, financial situation and needs before acting upon it. You should seek advice from a financial adviser, stockbroker or other professional (including taxation and legal advice) as necessary before acting on any advice. Not all investments are appropriate for all people. The website www.kalkine.ca is published by Kalkine Canada Advisory Services Inc. The link to our Terms & Conditions has been provided please go through them. On the date of publishing this report (mentioned on the website), employees and/or associates of Kalkine do not hold positions in any of the stocks covered on the website. These stocks can change any time and readers of the reports should not consider these stocks as advice or recommendations later.