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mid-cap

Watch Out for One NASDAQ- Listed Software Stock– Pegasystems Inc

Oct 10, 2024 | Team Kalkine
Watch Out for One NASDAQ- Listed Software Stock– Pegasystems Inc

PEGA:NASDAQ
Investment Type
Mid - Cap
Risk Level
Action
Rec. Price (US$)

Pegasystems Inc

Pegasystems Inc. (NASDAQ: PEGA) develops, markets, licenses, hosts and supports enterprise software that helps organizations build agility into their business so they can adapt to change. Its Pega Infinity is a software portfolio, which helps connect enterprises to their customers in real-time across channels.

Recent Business and Financial Updates

  • Pega GenAI Drives Accelerated Growth in Q2 2024: Pegasystems experienced significant growth in the second quarter of 2024, driven by the excitement surrounding its Pega GenAI offerings. The annual contract value (ACV) grew by 13% year-over-year in constant currency, reflecting the company's expanding client base and product adoption. Additionally, Pegasystems achieved strong financial performance with cash flow from operations reaching USD 220 million and free cash flow amounting to USD 218 million in the first half of 2024. Notably, the Pega Cloud backlog surpassed USD 1 billion for the first time, underscoring the company's continued momentum in the cloud space.
  • CEO's Perspective on AI and Client Engagement: Alan Trefler, the founder and CEO of Pegasystems, emphasized that the company's approach to both statistical and generative AI remains a key differentiator in the market. The introduction of innovative solutions, such as the Pega GenAI Blueprint™, has not only captured the attention of clients, prospects, and partners but also opened up new opportunities. According to Trefler, tens of thousands of blueprints have been created in recent months, contributing to deeper client engagement and positioning the company for accelerated growth and further Pega Cloud expansion.
  • Financial Leadership Highlights Strategic Execution: Ken Stillwell, COO and CFO of Pegasystems, expressed pride in the company's improved profitability and ACV growth. He highlighted the strong execution of the team and the AI-driven innovations, which have positioned Pegasystems to capitalize on the substantial digital transformation opportunities in the market. The company's financial performance showcases its ability to balance growth with profitability improvements.
  • Key Financial Metrics: For the three months ended June 30, 2024, Pegasystems reported total revenue of USD 351.15 million, an 18% increase compared to the same period in 2023. Net income under GAAP amounted to USD 6.61 million, a significant improvement compared to the net loss of USD 46.80 million reported for Q2 2023. Non-GAAP net income surged to USD 45.84 million, reflecting a 3711% increase from the prior year. Diluted earnings per share (EPS) on a GAAP basis stood at USD 0.07, compared to a loss of USD 0.56 per share in the same period last year, while non-GAAP EPS increased to USD 0.52, up from USD 0.01 in 2023. For the six months ending June 30, 2024, the company saw a 9% increase in total revenue, alongside a 92% improvement in net income (GAAP), and a 317% rise in non-GAAP earnings per share.

Technical Observation (on the daily chart):

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) over a 14-day period stands at a value of 61.73, currently consolidating near overbought zone, with expectations of a consolidation or an upward momentum if an important resistance of USD75.00 is broken. Additionally, the stock's current positioning is above both the 50-period SMA and 200-period SMA, which may serve as dynamic short to medium-term support levels.

As per the above-mentioned price action, recent key business and financial updates, momentum in the stock over the last month, and technical indicators analysis, a ‘WATCH’ rating has been given to Pegasystems Inc. (NASDAQ: PEGA) at the current market price of USD 73.44 as of October 10, 2024, 09:10 am PDT. 

Individuals can evaluate the stock based on the support and resistance levels provided in the report in case of keen interest taking into consideration the risk-reward scenario. 

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Related Risk: This report may be looked at from a high-risk perspective and a recommendation is provided for a short duration. This report is solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks etc.

 

Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance level is October 10, 2024. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.

Note 4: Target Price refers to a price level that the stock is expected to reach as per the relative valuation method and or technical analysis taking into consideration both short-term and long-term scenarios.

Note 5: ‘Kalkine reports are prepared based on the stock prices captured either from the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), NASDAQ Capital Markets (NASDAQ), and or REFINITIV. Typically, all sources (NYSE, NASDAQ, or REFINITIV) may reflect stock prices with a delay which could be a lag of 15-20 minutes. There can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with the information provided in the report. The information is subject to change without any prior notice.


Disclaimer-

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