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KALIN™

Badger Infrastructure Solutions Ltd

Mar 06, 2023

BDGI:TSX
Investment Type
Small-Cap
Risk Level
Action
Rec. Price ()

Section1: Company Overview and Fundamental Insights:

1.1 Company Overview:

Badger Infrastructure Solutions Ltd (TSX: BDGI) is North America's provider of non-destructive excavating services. Its key technology is the Badger Hydrovac, which is used primarily for safe excavation around critical infrastructure and in congested underground conditions. The company manufactures and designs its truck-mounted hydrovac units, giving an opportunity to incorporate feedback from its hydrovac operators into its existing and future design and manufacturing processes.

1.2 The Key Positives, Negatives, Investment Highlights and Risks

1.3 Top 10 Shareholders:

The top 10 shareholders together form ~51.67% of the total shareholding. Turtle Creek Asset Management Inc. and EdgePoint Investment Group Inc. hold a maximum stake in the company at ~­­­18.01% and ~10.45%, respectively.

1.4 Key Metrics:

The company reported healthy growth in its key financials on the sequential basis, which is a significant positive. Revenues from the company's two operating geographies also increased in Q3 2022 compared on sequential basis. Furthermore, the group witnessed elevated revenue per truck per month, which has aided in the generation of adequate cash from operations and demonstrates the group's strength and adaptability.

Section 2: Business Updates and Financial Highlights

2.1 Recent Updates: The below picture gives an overview of its recent activities, such as announcement regarding change in upper management and dividend distribution.

2.2 Insights on Q3 FY 2022 Financial Performance:

Section 3: Key Risks and Company Outlook

Section 4: Stock Recommendation Summary:

4.1 Price Performance and Technical Summary:

The stock has witnessed a downside of ~1.51% in 1 month and an upside of ~9.66% over the last 3 months. Moreover, the stock is trading above the average of 52-week high price of CAD 33.21 and 52-week low price of CAD 22.54 providing an opportunity to ride the trend.

4.2 Fundamental Valuation

Valuation Methodology: EV to EBITDA Multiple Based Relative Valuation (Illustrative)

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macroeconomic issues and geopolitical tensions prevailing. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is March 3, 2023. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock. 

Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Resistance 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Resistance 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock. 

Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.


Disclaimer

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