Canada Market Round-Up

The benchmark S&P/TSX Composite Index (TSX: ^TSX) started last week on a positive note and maintained a bullish momentum for the entire week. The S&P/TSX composite index advanced by 230.67 points (1.15%) to 20230.26 for the week ending June 25, 2021. The market followed the strong upside rally in the US markets. On Monday, the index closed at 20145.25, down by 85.01 points or ~0.42% amid rising fears about the Delta COVID-19 variant in Australia and some parts of Asia. Technology, Utilities, Healthcare and Real Estate were the leading sectors, while Academics & Educational Services, Energy, Basic Materials, and Consumer Cyclicals were the laggards on Monday. The weekly chart indicates that the index prices are moving in higher peaks and higher troughs, which suggests bulls are still in action. The immediate resistance level for the index is 20650, while the immediate support exists at 20000. On the weekly chart, RSI is trading in the oversold territory at (~71.09 levels), which indicates the possibilities of a correction in the index. We expect volatility to remain high, whereas the index may consolidate within the range of 19850 to 20295 levels in the coming trading sessions.

The upcoming major economic events that may impact the Canadian market sentiment include GDP MM, Building Permits MM and Manufacturing PMI. 

Global Markets Wrap-Up 

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite both indices hit a new all-time high on Monday. For the week ending June 25, 2021, S&P 500 closed at 4280.70, up by ~2.74%. Dow Jones Industrial Average settled at 34433.84 with an overall gain of ~3.43%, the Nasdaq composite added 330.01 points and closed at 14360.39 (up ~2.35%). Russell 2000 settled at 2334.40, reflecting an increase of ~4.32%. Last week, the US markets took support from the seasonally adjusted initial US unemployment claims data, which declined by 7000 to 411,000 for the week ending June 19, 2021 compared to the initial claims at 418,000 in the prior week data published by the US Labor Department. 

Having understood the US market’s performance over the past one week, taking cues from major global news, and based on our technical analysis of the S&P/TSX Composite Index, now let us look at the two TSX listed stocks from the technical standpoint. Noted below are our recommendations based on generic insights, entry price, target prices, and stop-loss for Lundin Mining Corporation. (TSX: LUN) and Hive Blockchain Technologies Ltd. (TSX: HIVE) for the next 2-4 weeks duration.

Lundin Mining Corporation. 

Lundin Mining Corporation (TSX: LUN) is a diversified base metals mining company. The Company is engaged in mining, exploration, and development of mineral properties, primarily in Chile, the United States, Portugal, and Sweden.

Price Action Analysis (on the Weekly Chart)

On the weekly chart, LUN stock prices are continuously sustaining above the rising trendline and taking support of the same. Moreover, stock prices are also taking the support of its horizontal trendline at CAD 10.26 and bounced from that level. Now, the next resistance level appears to be at CAD 12.70, and the stock may test that level in the short term (2-4 weeks).

Technical Indicators Analysis (On the Weekly Chart)

On the weekly chart, the momentum oscillator RSI (14-Period) is trading at ~40.85 level, which indicates neutral sign. The volume in the stock is showing an upward trend, which indicates higher participation from the investors. Furthermore, the stock is trading above 50-period SMA, indicating a bullish trend.

Financial Summary:

General Recommendation:

As per the above-mentioned price action and technical analysis, we can conclude that Lundin Mining Corporation. is looking technically well-placed on the chart, and we recommend a ‘Buy’ rating on the stock. Investment decisions should be made depending on the investor’s appetite for upside potential, risks, and any previous holdings. This recommendation is purely based on technical analysis, and fundamental analysis has not been considered in this report. Below is the summary of our recommendation.

Hive Blockchain Technologies Ltd. 

Hive Blockchain Technologies Ltd. (TSX: HIVE) is a Canada-based blockchain sector company. The Company engages in the production of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Price Action Analysis (on the Weekly Chart)

On the weekly chart, HIVE stock prices are trading above the horizontal trendline support level of CAD 2.37 and continuously taking support of it. After taking the support of its horizontal trendline, the price has witnessed an upside rally. Now, the next resistance level appears to be at CAD 3.35, and the stock may test that level in the short term (2-4 weeks).

Technical Indicators Analysis (On the Weekly Chart)

On the weekly chart, the momentum oscillator RSI (14-Period) is trading at ~47.31 levels, indicating bullish momentum. Moreover, the stock is trading above 50-period SMA, which may act as a crucial support level for the prices. The weekly volumes also seem supportive of the upside movement.

Financial Summary:

General Recommendation:

As per the above-mentioned price action and technical analysis, we can conclude that Hive Blockchain Technologies Ltd. is looking technically well-placed on the chart, and we recommend a ‘Buy’ rating on the stock. Investment decisions should be made depending on the investor’s appetite for upside potential, risks, and any previous holdings. This recommendation is purely based on technical analysis, and fundamental analysis has not been considered in this report. Below is the summary of our recommendation.

Upcoming Major Global Economic Events

Market events occur on a day-to-day basis depending on the frequency of the data and generally include update on employment, inflation, GDP, consumer sentiments, etc. Noted below are the upcoming week's major global economic events that could impact the S&P/TSX Composite Index and listed stocks’ prices.

Investment Related Risks: Based on the technical analysis, the risks are defined as per risk-reward ratio (~0.60:1.00); however, returns are generated within 2-4 weeks’ time frame. This may be looked at by Investors with sufficient risk appetite looking for returns within a short investment duration. Investment recommendations provided in this report are solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, and social and political instability risks etc.

Entry Price: For the given recommendation(s), the Entry Price is assumed to be at or above a certain level. However, a slight deviation on either side in the ‘Entry Price’ can be considered depending upon the potential expected or indicated.

Note: How to Read the Charts?

The Green color line reflects the 21-period moving average, while the Red color line indicates the 50-period moving average. SMA helps to identify existing price trend. If the prices are trading above the 21-period and 50-period moving average, then it shows prices are currently trading in a bullish trend.

The Black color line in the chart’s lower segment reflects the Relative Strength Index (14-Period), which indicates price momentum and signals momentum in trend. A reading of 70 or above suggests overbought status, while a reading of 30 or below suggests an oversold status.

The Blue color bars in the chart’s lower segment show the volume of the stock. The volume is the number of shares that changed hands during a given day. Stocks with high volumes are more liquid than stocks with lesser volume, and we consider stocks with greater than or equal to 200,000 volumes as more liquid. Liquidity in stocks helps in easier and faster execution of the order.

The Orange color lines are the trend lines drawn by connecting two or more price points and used for trend identification purposes. The trend line also acts as a line of support and resistance.

Technical Indicators Defined: - 

Support: A level where-in the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest.

Resistance: A level where-in the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. 

Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.

Risk Reward Ratio: The risk reward ratio is the difference between an entry point to a stop loss and profit level. We suggest ~60% Stop Loss of the Target 1 from the entry point.

A trailing stop-loss is a modification of stop-loss in case of favourable movement in the price to protect the gains. We suggest Investors to Trail the Stop-Loss as per the aforementioned levels if the stock price achieves more than 50% of the Target 1. Investors should consider exiting from the position as per the Trailing Stop-Loss level if the price starts moving downwards after achieving more than 50% of the Target 1.

The reference date for all price data, volumes, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is June 28, 2021. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV. 

Abbreviations

CMP: Current Market Price

SMA: Simple Moving Average

CAD: Canadian Dollar

RSI: Relative Strength Index 

Note: Trading decisions require a thorough analysis by investors. Technical reports in general chart out metrics that may be assessed by investors before any stock evaluation. The above are illustrative analytical factors used for evaluating the stocks; other parameters can be looked at along with additional risks per se. Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.

Disclaimer

The advice given by Kalkine Canada Advisory Services Inc. and provided on this website is general information only and it does not take into account your investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any particular person. You should therefore consider whether the advice is appropriate to your investment objectives, financial situation and needs before acting upon it. You should seek advice from a financial adviser, stockbroker or other professional (including taxation and legal advice) as necessary before acting on any advice. Not all investments are appropriate for all people. The website www.kalkine.ca is published by Kalkine Canada Advisory Services Inc. The link to our Terms & Conditions has been provided please go through them. On the date of publishing this report (mentioned on the website), employees and/or associates of Kalkine do not hold positions in any of the stocks covered on the website. These stocks can change any time and readers of the reports should not consider these stocks as advice or recommendations later.