Capstone Copper Corp.

Section 1: Commodity Update:

The copper industry plays a vital role across construction, electronics, and renewable energy due to its superior electrical and thermal conductivity. Leading producers like Chile and Peru are key players to global supply, while innovations in technology and recycling are transforming production and reducing environmental impact. Reports indicate that around 100,000 to 150,000 metric tons of refined copper are expected to arrive in the US in the coming weeks, tightening supply in China just as demand is set to rebound amid government efforts to boost consumption. Meanwhile, inventories on both the London and Shanghai exchanges are declining. US President Donald Trump has recently threatened tariffs on copper imports, which could further strain the country’s already limited smelting capacity. Currently, the US imports nearly half of its copper and relies on only two major smelters for domestic production.

Data Source: Government of Canada, Trading Economics

Section 2: Company Overview and Fundamental Insights:

2.1 Company Overview:

Capstone Copper Corp. (TSX: CS) is a company that mines, explores, and develops mineral properties in the Americas. Specifically, the group has operating mines in the US, Mexico, and Canada, and development projects in Chile and Canada. Capstone's main focus is copper, but the company also produces zinc, lead, molybdenum, silver, and gold.

Kalkine’s Resource Report covers the Investment Highlights, Key Financial Metrics, Risks, Technical Analysis along with the Valuation, Target Price, and Recommendation on the stock.

2.2 The Key Positives, Negatives, Investment Highlights and Risks

2.3 Top 10 Shareholders:

The top 10 shareholders together form ~40.31% of the total shareholding. GRM Investments, Ltd. and Orion Resource Partners (USA) LP hold a maximum stake in the company at ~­­­13.22% and ~11.88%, respectively.

2.4 Key Metrics:

The company has reported an increase in its revenue and net income in FY 2024, which is a key positive. The rise in revenue was mainly due to higher production volume and realizing higher metal price in 2024 compared to pcp. Furthermore, the company minimized its long term debt and clocked higher cash from operations, which is a significant plus.

Section 3: Business Updates and Financial Highlights

3.1 Recent Updates: The below picture gives an overview of the company’s recent activity regarding its net debt numbers.

3.2 Insights on FY 2024 Financial Performance:

Section 4: Key Risks and Company Outlook

Section 5: Stock Recommendation Summary:

5.1 Price Performance and Technical Summary:

The stock has witnessed an upside of ~4.70% and ~1.82% over the last 1 month and 3 months respectively. Moreover, the stock is trading below the average 52-week high price of CAD 11.51 and 52-week low price of CAD 6.89, providing an opportunity to accumulate the stock.

5.2 Fundamental Valuation

Valuation Methodology: EV to Sales Multiple Based Relative Valuation (Illustrative)

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macroeconomic issues and geopolitical tensions prevailing. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is March 20, 2025. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.

Note 4: Dividend Yield may vary as per the stock price movement. 

Note 5: Kalkine reports are prepared based on the stock prices captured either from REFINITIV or Trading View. Typically, REFINITIV or Trading View may reflect stock prices with a delay which could be a lag of 25-30 minutes. There can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with the information provided in the report. The information is subject to change without any prior notice 

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock. 

Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Resistance 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Resistance 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock. 

Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.