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CA Technical Analysis Report

The S&P/TSX Composite Index is trading above 21-period SMA, One TSXV-listed stock to consider at the current levels- HIVE

Sep 30, 2025

  • HIVE:TSX-V
  • Investment Type
    Small-Cap
  • Risk Level
  • Action
  • Rec. Price (CA$)

Company Overview: HIVE Blockchain Technologies Ltd. (TSXV: HIVE) operates as a blockchain infrastructure company, primarily engaged in the mining of digital currencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. The company maintains operations in multiple jurisdictions, including its Iceland Cryptocurrency Mining Project, leveraging access to low-cost renewable energy to support sustainable mining activities. This Report covers Price Action, Technical Indicators Analysis along with the Stop Loss Levels, Target Prices, and Recommendation on this one stock.

Canada Market Round-Up

The S&P/TSX Composite Index (TSX: ^TSX) finished last week slightly lower, slipping 0.02% to 29,761.28. On September 29, however, the benchmark rebounded strongly, advancing 210.63 points (0.71%) and extending its near-term positive momentum. Gains were broad-based, led by healthcare, technology, consumer non-cyclicals, consumer cyclicals, basic materials, industrials, utilities, real estate, and financials, while energy lagged and limited the overall upside. From a technical standpoint, the index retains a firm bullish structure, holding above both its rising trendline support and the 21-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), which continue to anchor the uptrend. Key resistance is seen near 30,350, where a breakout could open the path for further upside. On the downside, initial support lies at 29,500, with a sustained break below this level likely to trigger a deeper short-term pullback. The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 81.85, signalling strong and persistent buying momentum. While this underpins a constructive outlook, it also places the index in overbought territory, suggesting caution may be warranted in the near term.

On the macro front, the upcoming major economic events that may impact the Canadian market sentiment include CA Manufacturing PMI, US Unemployment Rate PMI and US Unemployment Claims.

Global Markets Wrap-Up

U.S. equity markets lost some upward momentum in the week ending September 26, 2025, with major benchmarks closing broadly lower. The Nasdaq Composite was the relative outperformer, easing 0.65% to 22,484.07, while the Russell 2000 declined 0.59% to 2,434.32. On the economic front, U.S. Department of Labor data showed initial jobless claims fell by 14,000 to a seasonally adjusted 218,000 for the week ending September 20, down from the prior week’s revised level of 232,000. The decline points to continued resilience in the labor market despite broader equity market weakness.

Taking into the US market's performance over the last week, following the major global macros and data front, based on the technical analysis of the S&P/TSX Composite Index, the one TSX listed stock fit the maximum criteria on the technical framework. The recommendations are based on the generic insights, entry price, target prices, and stop-loss for HIVE Blockchain Technologies Ltd. (TSXV: HIVE) for the next 2-4 weeks.

HIVE Blockchain Technologies Ltd. (TSXV: HIVE)

Price Action Analysis (On the Daily Chart)

On the daily chart, HIVE continues to trade above a key rising trendline support, highlighting steady buying interest at current levels. The recent rebound, supported by rising volumes, signals strengthening bullish momentum and increasing investor participation. If this positive sentiment persists over the next 2–4 weeks, the stock is well-positioned to retest immediate resistance around CAD 6.10. A decisive breakout above CAD 6.70 would confirm the continuation of the broader uptrend, opening the door for further upside in the sessions ahead.

Technical Analysis (On the Daily Chart)

On the daily chart, the 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 64.43, reflecting solid momentum and suggesting scope for renewed upside if buying interest continues to build. Consistently strong weekly trading volumes reinforce the prevailing trend, pointing to steady investor participation and healthy market activity. Moreover, the stock is trading above its 21-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), which acts as dynamic support and further strengthens the bullish outlook.

General Recommendation:

As per the above-mentioned price action and technical analysis, HIVE Blockchain Technologies Ltd. is looking technically well-placed on the chart, and a ‘Speculative Buy’ recommendation has been given on the stock. Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual’s appetite for upside potential, risks, and any previous holdings. This recommendation is purely based on technical analysis, and fundamental analysis has not been considered in this report. Below is the summary of our recommendation.

Upcoming Major Global Economic Events

Market events occur on a day-to-day basis depending on the frequency of the data and generally include updates on employment, inflation, GDP, consumer sentiments, etc. Noted below are the upcoming week's major global economic events that could impact the S&P/TSX Composite Index and listed stocks' prices.

Related Risks: This report may be looked at from high-risk perspective and recommendations are provided are for a short duration. Recommendations provided in this report are solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks etc.

Note 1: Individuals can consider exiting from the stock if the Target Price or Stop loss mentioned as per the technical analysis has been achieved and subject to the factors discussed above.

Note 2: How to Read the Charts?

The Green color line reflects the 21-period moving average, while the Red color line indicates the 50-period moving average. SMA helps to identify existing price trend. If the prices are trading above the 21-period and 50-period moving average, then it shows prices are currently trading in a bullish trend.

The Black color line in the chart's lower segment reflects the Relative Strength Index (14-Period), which indicates price momentum and signals momentum in trend. A reading of 70 or above suggests overbought status, while a reading of 30 or below suggests an oversold status.

The Blue color bars in the chart's lower segment show the volume of the stock. The volume is the number of shares that changed hands during a given day. Stocks with high volumes are more liquid than stocks with lesser volume. Liquidity in stocks helps in easier and faster execution of the order.

The Orange color lines are the trend lines drawn by connecting two or more price points and used for trend identification purposes. The trend line also acts as a line of support and resistance.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock.

Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Resistance 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Resistance 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock.

Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavorable movement in the stock prices.

Risk Reward Ratio: The risk reward ratio is the difference between an entry point to a stop loss and profit level.  This report is based on ~80% Stop Loss of the Target 1 from the entry point.

A trailing stop-loss is a modification of stop-loss in case of favourable movement in the price to protect the gains.  Individuals can Trail the Stop-Loss as per the aforementioned levels if the stock price achieves more than 50% of the Target 1. individuals should consider exiting from the position as per the Trailing Stop-Loss level if the price starts moving downwards after achieving more than 50% of the Target 1.

The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is September 29, 2025. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Abbreviations

CMP: Current Market Price

SMA: Simple Moving Average

CAD: Canadian Dollar

RSI: Relative Strength Index

Note: Trading decisions require a thorough analysis by individuals. Technical reports in general chart out metrics that may be assessed by individuals before any stock evaluation. The above are illustrative analytical factors used for evaluating the stocks; other parameters can be looked at along with additional risks per se. Past performance is neither an Indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.


Disclaimer-

The advice given by Kalkine Canada Advisory Services Inc. and provided on this website is general information only and it does not take into account your investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any particular person. You should therefore consider whether the advice is appropriate to your investment objectives, financial situation and needs before acting upon it. You should seek advice from a financial adviser, stockbroker or other professional (including taxation and legal advice) as necessary before acting on any advice. Not all investments are appropriate for all people. The website www.kalkine.ca is published by Kalkine Canada Advisory Services Inc. The link to our Terms & Conditions has been provided please go through them. On the date of publishing this report (mentioned on the website), employees and/or associates of Kalkine do not hold positions in any of the stocks covered on the website. These stocks can change any time and readers of the reports should not consider these stocks as advice or recommendations later.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.