Section1: Company Overview

TransAlta Corporation (TSX: TA) is an independent power producer based in Alberta, Canada. The company owns more than 70 power plants in Canada, the Western United States, and Australia. TransAlta's net generating capacity is approximately two thirds coal or natural gas-fired. The remaining one third consists primarily of hydroelectric plants and wind energy farms. We expect this mix to shift to more renewable energy as the company retires Alberta coal plants to comply with carbon emissions legislation. TransAlta also has an energy trading and marketing business and owns natural gas transmission lines.

This Report covers the Key Recommendation Rationale, Valuation, Target Price, and Recommendation on the stock. 

Section 2:  Stock Recommendation Summary

Valuation Methodology (Illustrative): EV to Sales based Relative Valuation approach:

The stock has witnessed an upside of ~9.09% and ~22.64% over the 1 week and 1 month respectively. It is trading above the average of 52-week high price of CAD 21.22 and 52-week low price of CAD 9.30, providing an opportunity to exit, as the stock might make some correction.

One-Year Technical Price Chart (as of June 18, 2025). Source: REFINITIV, Analysis: Kalkine Group 

Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels as on June 18, 2025. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.

Note 4: Dividend Yield may vary as per the stock price movement. 

Note 5: Kalkine reports are prepared based on the stock prices captured either from REFINITIV or Trading View. Typically, REFINITIV or Trading View may reflect stock prices with a delay which could be a lag of 25-30 minutes. There can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with the information provided in the report. The information is subject to change without any prior notice.