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Watch Out for One NASDAQ- Listed Semiconductor Stock – Broadcom Inc

May 23, 2025 | Team Kalkine
Watch Out for One NASDAQ- Listed Semiconductor Stock – Broadcom Inc
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  • AVGO:NASDAQ
  • Investment Type
    Large-cap
  • Risk Level
  • Action
  • Rec. Price (US$)

Broadcom Inc

Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO) is a global technology firm that designs, develops, and supplies a range of semiconductors, enterprise software and security solutions. The Company operates through two segments: semiconductor solutions and infrastructure software. 

Recent Business and Financial Updates

  • Broadcom Inc. Schedules Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results Announcement: Broadcom Inc. (Nasdaq: AVGO), a leading global provider of semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions, will disclose its second quarter fiscal year 2025 financial results and business outlook on Thursday, June 5, 2025, after market close, as announced on May 5, 2025. The company’s management will host a conference call at 2:00 p.m. Pacific Time (5:00 p.m. Eastern Time) on the same day, accessible live online in the Investors section of Broadcom’s website at https://investors.broadcom.com, to discuss the results and future expectations.
  • Broadcom Inc. Unveils USD10 Billion Share Repurchase Program: Broadcom Inc. (Nasdaq: AVGO) announced a new USD10 billion share repurchase program authorized by its Board of Directors, set to run through December 31, 2025, reflecting confidence in the company’s strong cash flow generation and its leadership in semiconductor and infrastructure solutions, particularly in generative AI innovation for hyperscalers. The repurchasing process will utilize various methods such as open market or privately negotiated purchases, with the timing and amount influenced by factors like stock price, market conditions, and regulatory requirements, though Broadcom retains the flexibility to suspend or terminate the program as needed.
  • Broadcom Inc. Reports First Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Performance and Dividend Declaration (AVGO): Broadcom Inc. (Nasdaq: AVGO), a global leader in semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions, announced its financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, ending February 2, 2025, alongside its second-quarter outlook and quarterly dividend, as disclosed on March 6, 2025. The company reported a 25% year-over-year revenue increase to USD 14,916 million, driven by strong demand for AI semiconductor solutions and infrastructure software, with Adjusted EBITDA rising 41% to USD 10,083 million, representing 68% of revenue. Broadcom’s commitment to shareholder value was reaffirmed through a quarterly dividend of USD 0.59 per share, payable on March 31, 2025, to stockholders of record by March 20, 2025.
  • Strong Financial Metrics and Growth Drivers: Broadcom’s Q1 2025 performance showcased significant growth, with GAAP net income reaching USD 5,503 million, up from USD 1,325 million in Q1 2024, and non-GAAP net income increasing to USD 7,823 million from USD 5,254 million, reflecting robust operational efficiency. The company achieved a GAAP diluted EPS of USD 1.14 and a non-GAAP diluted EPS of USD 1.60, marking increases of USD 0.86 and USD 0.50, respectively, compared to the prior year, driven by a 77% year-over-year surge in AI revenue to USD 4,100 million and a 47% growth in infrastructure software revenue to USD 6,704 million. These metrics highlight Broadcom’s ability to capitalize on high-growth sectors like AI, making it a compelling consideration for investors evaluating its market position.
  • Segment Performance and Cash Flow Strength: Broadcom’s revenue breakdown for Q1 2025 revealed a balanced contribution, with semiconductor solutions generating USD 8,212 million (55% of total revenue, up 11% year-over-year) and infrastructure software contributing USD 6,704 million (45%, up 47% year-over-year), underscoring the company’s diversified portfolio. Cash flow from operations stood at USD 6,113 million, with capital expenditures of USD 100 million, resulting in a free cash flow of USD 6,013 million, or 40% of revenue, a 28% increase from USD 4,693 million in Q1 2024. This strong cash generation, alongside cash and cash equivalents of USD 9,307 million at quarter-end, positions Broadcom to fund innovation and strategic initiatives effectively.
  • Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Outlook: Broadcom projects continued growth in Q2 2025, with revenue guidance of approximately USD 14,900 million, reflecting a 19% increase from the prior year period, and Adjusted EBITDA expected to be around 66% of projected revenue, driven by anticipated AI semiconductor revenue of USD 4,400 million. The company highlighted the role of hyperscale partners investing in AI XPUs and connectivity solutions for AI data centers as a key growth driver, though it noted that these projections are estimates and subject to material variations, with no obligation to update unless required by law. Investors should consider this outlook as an indicator of Broadcom’s confidence in sustained demand for its AI and software solutions.
  • Dividend Policy and Shareholder Commitment: Broadcom’s Board of Directors approved a quarterly cash dividend of USD 0.59 per share, consistent with its previous payout of USD 2,774 million on December 31, 2024, demonstrating a steady commitment to returning value to shareholders. The dividend will be paid on March 31, 2025, to stockholders of record as of the close of business on March 20, 2025, at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time. During Q1, the company also managed equity-related expenses, paying USD 2,036 million in withholding taxes for net settled equity awards, resulting in the elimination of 8.7 million shares, further aligning its capital structure with shareholder interests.

Technical Observation (on the daily chart):

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 70.43, currently inside overbought levels, with the expectations of consolidation or a correction to next important support levels of USD 200-USD210. In addition, the current price is above both the 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) and 200-day SMA, which may work as medium to long term support levels.

As per the above-mentioned price action, recent key business and financial updates, momentum in the stock over the last month, and technical indicators analysis, a ‘WATCH’ rating has been given Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO) at the closing price of USD 230.53, as of May 22, 2025. 

Individuals can evaluate the stock based on the support and resistance levels provided in the report in case of keen interest taking into consideration the risk-reward scenario. 

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Related Risk: This report may be looked at from a high-risk perspective and a recommendation is provided for a short duration. This report is solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks etc. 

Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance level is May 22, 2025. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.

Note 4: Target Price refers to a price level that the stock is expected to reach as per the relative valuation method and or technical analysis taking into consideration both short-term and long-term scenarios.

Note 5: ‘Kalkine reports are prepared based on the stock prices captured either from the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), NASDAQ Capital Markets (NASDAQ), and or REFINITIV. Typically, all sources (NYSE, NASDAQ, or REFINITIV) may reflect stock prices with a delay which could be a lag of 15-20 minutes. There can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with the information provided in the report. The information is subject to change without any prior notice.


Disclaimer-

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Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.